Without mentioning the cheering conflict, the fictional General Manager could learn a lot from the Roto World. Fantasy football, in the days before the World Wide Web influenced my analysis from a different perspective.
In my prime I was able to play with Emmitt, the best running back of the NFL. One week, two offensive linesmen were injured and the Pokes played on the road. Chris Warren played in Seattle against a Seattle Seahawks team who was without two of their top run-stoppers. Would I be able to bench my best runningback because the matchup is not good? Emmitt is still my favorite, but I’m glad that scrutiny has helped me become a better handicapper.
It helped me to analyze big matchups. My betting skills were greatly improved, particularly when it came time to bet on the over/under. Many handicappers are ill-informed and incorrectly assume that an injured offensive key player will mean less points, or a defensive key player can score more.
My fantasy breakdowns made it clear that, if an offensive run blocker was injured, the team might have to throw more passes. It’s the same as if your team’s top rusher is out of action and you have a large dropoff in his replacement 한화입금. To compensate for this, many teams have to modify their strategy and open up the offense.
It is not true that a depreciated attack will result in lower points. There are many football enthusiasts and sports analysts who believe the falsehood that the stronger an offensive is, the greater the number of points.
My favorite example was when Edgerrin Jam went down in 2001 for the Colts. This repressed the Colts offense but, with great weapons like WR Marvin Harrison or QB Peyton Manning on hand, throwing more was an obvious way to counteract his loss. They thought losing a great weapon would lead to lower-scoring games. While it would deplete their offense, I knew it would force them to go for a much higher octane. The total was exceeded in 14 out of 16 games during the regular season.
Say that the defense has two of their best run-stoppers injured, and the number is very high. I will investigate this further to find out if there is any correlation between it and an opponent’s motivation to run. In this case, longer possessions would result, which means less possessions. A smaller number of possessions will result in fewer chances to score.
The total would be much higher in this hypothetical scenario due to injuries.
The best offense does not always mean the highest scoring offense. A superior defense will not automatically give up more scores. An excellent defense, which is strong in stopping the running, can force an opponent to be more risky. If a defense has an adequate secondary, it may get more runs against. Ergo, the totals posted would have been overadjusted.
Top fantasy sports sites are therefore invaluable for improving sports cognition. Rotowire.com has been around for a long time and is still one of the best. They are well-versed in every sport, and their insight for roto players is invaluable.
Footballinjuries.com has also been a fantastic resource for NFL. Some sites are excellent at analyzing player versus team statistics or even better, player versus coach. Bill Belichick-coached teams are very good at shutting out certain quarterbacks. The player’s history can provide valuable handicapping information, provided you take into account how many parameters have changed. In handicapping, everything must be viewed in the proper context.
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